Ukraine's Agricultural Economy in Crisis: How the War is Impacting Food Production and Security

 Historical background of Ukrainian Agriculture

Farming is a worldwide system, constantly adapting to changing weather and political situations. As a result, the stakes have escalated. Agriculture in Ukraine has developed dramatically since the country's independence in 1991, after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. Then the large farms and collective farmlands were separated among the farmworkers as shared lands. Due to land shares, continuous deduction of crop yields leads to major agriculture problems. But the farmers were able to make more market-based crop selection and management decisions due to the change away from the Soviet-style command economy, which resulted in higher efficiency in both the livestock and agricultural production sectors. The availability of massive, long-term loans is a significant source of stress for many farmers.

Ukraine agriculture lands

In the summer, Ukraine's climate is drier and cooler, while it is colder and wetter in the winter. This environment is ideal for both winter and spring crops. During the growing season, the average annual precipitation in Ukraine is around 350 millimeters (24 inches) (April through October). Generally speaking, the west and central Ukraine have higher concentrations, while the south and east have lower concentrations. Agriculture accounts for approximately 42 million hectares of Ukraine's total land area, including cultivated lands, gardens, orchards, vineyards, and permanent meadows and pastures. 


Cultivated Crops

Winter wheat, spring barley, and corn are the nation's primary grain crops in Ukraine. Sunflowers and sugar beets are industrial crops. Here, cultivated lands include grains, specialized crops, forages, potatoes and vegetables, and fallows. 


Current situation of Ukraine Agriculture

The Ukrainian conflict has far-reaching consequences up to and down the food chain. Business operations and trade flows are constantly delayed, and commodity and energy prices will rise. As a result, food and agriculture industries in Europe and other world regions are changing dramatically. The Ukrainian farming issue occurs when global food prices have been rising for months due to the COVID-19 pandemic. According to the World Bank, world food prices jumped 24% in a year, setting a new high in February 2022.


Main agricultural issues due to war

Globally, grain, oil seed, and fertilizer prices are rising.

Multinational businesses doing business in the region are in a bind.

Sanctions and trade disruptions make doing business more difficult for importers and exporters.

Increased demand for crops in other producing regions due to trade disruptions.

The disagreement has resulted in higher energy prices, which impacts all European food companies.

Both Ukraine and Russia are significant food consumers and substantial producers of grains and oil seeds. Naturally, Ukrainian food producers would suffer the most due to the sanctions. On the other hand, the war has had and will continue to influence a range of businesses along the value chain of food production.

1. Grain, oilseed, and fertilizer price increment

Ukraine and Russia are significant wheat exporters, accounting for over a third of world exports - almost entirely through the Black Sea. Ukraine and Russia are key wheat exporters. Commodity prices continued to rise in 2022, mainly for grains and oilseeds. Sanctions in Belarus and Russia increase the cost of fertilizer inputs for farmers. Due to the Black Sea region's importance for grain and oilseed production, food companies that do not deal directly with Russia or Ukraine rise. Feed producers, bakers, brewers, and producers of vegetable oils and spreads will face the brunt of increased costs because of their dependence on grains and oilseeds. Not only that, but wheat prices have risen substantially worldwide in recent weeks, after the outbreak of the conflict, which makes a significant impact on the global market phase.

2. Multinational agribusinesses are in a bind.

Ukraine's inhabitants and companies face a tragedy on a scale never seen before. As for the country's food producers, it's hard to predict how things will change when there is no more fighting. Concerns regarding the local food supply are growing daily.

As a result of the fighting, several foreign food firms in Ukraine have temporarily suspended operations, and some have also halted supplies to Russia. Assuming the security situation enables it, the restoration of Ukrainian facilities will be under intense strain since food is a crucial demand.

3. Importation and exportation of agriculture-based products

Many Ukrainian and Russian food and agricultural enterprises confront significant logistical challenges with their Russian and Ukrainian rivals. The shutdown of Ukrainian ports and the Black Sea security problem are two examples. 

Importers of agricultural goods will hunt for alternate markets to source their grains and vegetable oils. 

4. the market price of feeds

Agriculture prices rising due to droughts and increased demand for renewable energy would be beneficial to farmers, allowing them to reap the benefits of the conflict. In spring, as a result of this, farmers' fuel and fertilizer expenditures will increase, and grain prices will rise due to this increase.

5. Fertilizer, pesticide, herbicide shortage

However, Ukrainian farmers lack various nutrients for their economic crops, including fertilizer and insecticides, and herbicides. Moreover, they claim that even if they had an abundance of such resources, they would not gather enough fuel to run their equipment.







Suggestions to improve Ukrainian Agriculture

Finally, all of these causes contribute to global food scarcity. But other nations should be aware of the situation and establish alternative agricultural zones.

Begin by promoting human food crops while restraining pig, poultry, and biofuel production. Instead of barley for pigs, grow wheat and beans for humans—compensation for pig and poultry producers' losses. As well, large-scale livestock producers should also be rewarded for growing feed crops in mixed agricultural systems, mainly where the environmental impacts are minimal.

There will be a good saving with mandates for public procurement and food waste reduction are essential in the circular economy. When considering other countries, instead of concentrating on the production of fossil fuels, Europe should focus on producing edible oil seeds.

Throughout this, the consequences, including lost lives and communities and displaced individuals, will take years to recover. Ukrainians will need food today, and we will need to aid in the restoration of agricultural and infrastructural facilities.

 


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